XFL Week 4

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Developing Stories 📰

XFl is back for week 4. The first game is the Houston Roughnecks at the Orlando Guardians. This is a week 1 rematch, as the Roughnecks beat the Guardians 33-12. The Roughnecks lead the league in points per game and fewest allowed. On the offensive side, Silvers is second in passing yards and tied for first in touchdown passes. The Roughnecks continue to lead the league in sacks and interceptions, while the Guardians have struggled offensively through three weeks, averaging a league-low 11 points. Last week Orlando came close in a one-point loss to Arlington. However, the Guardians are still the league's worst team and Houston -8.5 is the play here.

The Brahmas face off next at the Seattle Sea Dragons. This matchup gives a chance for both teams to return to .500. The Sea Dragons have the best pass game in the XFL. DiNucci leads the league in passing yards, completed passes, throws resulting in first downs and is tied for the lead in touchdown passes. On the other side, Brahmas quarterback Jack Coan has also had success, having thrown five touchdown passes, but Coan struggled last week against the Roughnecks, totaling only 64 yards. With both teams being offensive based we think the over 40.5 is the play here.

Both the Arlington Renegades and St. Louis Battlehawks have shown a talent for the late game-winning drives. The Battlehawks' last-second wins have come off the arm of McCarron. The Renegades have relied on their defense holding strong in the last seconds, including a goal-line stand against the Vipers in week 1. The Battlehawks are looking to bounce back from their first loss, despite McCarron's four touchdown passes and the Renegades are looking to string together back-to-back wins after holding on, 10-9, against the Guardians lean under 36.5 here.

Last game of the weekend is the Vegas Vipers at D.C. Defenders. This is a rematch from Week 2 that resulted in a 18-6 win for the Defenders, who scored 15 points in the fourth quarter. Although the Vipers failed to execute in the fourth quarter, quarterback Brett Hundley threw for 224 yards with two touchdown passes and rushed for 66 yards and a score. The Defenders have the best rushing attack in the XFL, averaging 149 yards. On the other side, their defense is second in interceptions and sacks. Hundley makes the Vipers a much more skilled offense which is why they're 3-0 ATS in the first half. The Defenders are using a two-quarterback system effectively. Over 42.5 is the play.

Headlines 🚨

Vikings release WR Adam Thielen after 9 seasons in Minnesota.

On This Day in Sports History: 1963 SF Warriors Wilt Chamberlain scores 70 points in 163-148 defeat to Syracuse Nationals.

The Saints ask Jameis Winston to restructure contract so he can stay on the team.

Flyers fire GM Chuck Fletcher after dull trade deadline.

Patrick Ewing will not return as head coach for the Georgetown Hoyas next season.

Kevin Durant likely to miss 2-3 weeks with a left ankle injury.

A MRI on star Luka Doncic revealed no damage, he will return to the lineup when there is no more discomfort.

Bryce Harper is on no rush to return, sets his All-Star beak as his end goal to return from Tommy John surgery.

Carlos Rodon, the Yankees $162 million pitcher will start the season on the injured list from a left forearm muscle strain.

The Houston Texans will lose a fifth-round pick in the 2023 NFL draft and have been fined $175,000 for a salary cap reporting violation involving former QB Deshaun Watson.

Trends 📈📉 via Oddsshark

🏀 Hawks at Wizards

• Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

• Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

🏀 Trail Blazers at 76ers

• Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

• Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

🏀 Cavaliers at Heat

• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Miami

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road

• Miami is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Cleveland

🏀 Nets at Bucks

• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

• Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

• Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn

• Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

🏀 Nuggets at Spurs

• Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

• The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing at home against Denver

• San Antonio is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Denver

🏀 Raptors at Lakers

• Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers

• Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers

• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home

• The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games

🎓🏀 RUTG at #5 PUR

• Rutgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Purdue

• Rutgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Purdue

• The total has gone OVER in 7 of Purdue's last 9 games when playing Rutgers

• Purdue is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Rutgers

🎓🏀 MSST at #4 ALA

• Mississippi State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Alabama

• Mississippi State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Alabama

🎓🏀 #17 TENN at #25 MIZZ

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Missouri

• Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Missouri

🎓🏀 #11 UCONN at #6 MARQ

• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Marquette

• Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Marquette

🎓🏀 ISU at #3 KU

• Iowa State is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Kansas

• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing Iowa State

• Kansas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Iowa State

🎓🏀 #21 DUKE at #14 MIA

• Duke is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami

• Duke is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami

🎓🏀 ARK at #18 TXAM

• The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arkansas's last 9 games when playing Texas A&M

• Arkansas is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Texas A&M

🎓🏀 MD at #19 IND

• The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Maryland's last 10 games when playing Indiana

🎓🏀 ORE at #2 UCLA

• Oregon is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing UCLA

• The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon's last 10 games when playing UCLA

• UCLA is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oregon

🎓🏀 #24 CREI at #15 XAV

• The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Creighton's last 14 games when playing Xavier

• Creighton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Xavier

• Xavier is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Creighton

🎓🏀 VAN at #23 UK

• Vanderbilt is 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Kentucky

• The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Vanderbilt's last 23 games when playing Kentucky

• Kentucky is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Vanderbilt

🎓🏀 SJSU at #20 SDSU

• The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose State's last 10 games when playing San Diego State

• San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State

🎓🏀 CLEM at #13 UVA

• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games when playing Virginia

• Clemson is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Virginia

• Virginia is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Clemson

🎓🏀 #22 TCU at #7 TEX

• Texas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing TCU

• Texas is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing TCU

🎓🏀 ASU at #8 ARIZ

• The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona State's last 13 games when playing Arizona

• Arizona State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

Public Money 🤑 via VSiN at 9AMCT

🏀 NBA

60% of bets and 75% of money is on PHI -7.5

56% of bets and 78% of money is on UNDER 238 ATL at WSH

57% of bets and 74% of money is on MIN -4.5

53% of bets and 87% of money is on UNDER 228.5 BKN at MIN

44% of bets and 75% of money is on OVER 236 DEN at SAS

🎓🏀 NCAAB

28% of bets and 45% of money is on UNDER 137.5 OSU at MSU

40% of bets and 57% of money is on UNDER 140 TENN at MIZZ

38% of bets and 64% of money is on UCONN -3.5

26% of bets and 50% of money is on UNDER 145.5 DUKE at MIA

40% of bets and 62% of money is on ARK +1.5

29% of bets and 48% of money is on UNDER 137.5 ARK at TXAM

40% of bets and 89% of money is on UNDER 135 MD at IND

17% of bets and 40% of money is on ORE +6

23% of bets and 44% of money is on UNDER 134.5 ORE at UCLA

41% of bets and 65% of money is on CREI -3.5

53% of bets and 76% of money is on UK -8.5

22% of bets and 61% of money is on UNDER 126.5 SJSU at SDSU

31% of bets and 66% of money is on UNDER 127 CLEM at UVA

Future Odds 🔮 via Bovada Sportsbook

Injury Report 🏥 via ESPN

BKN (PG) Ben Simmons | Questionable - Back/Knee

DEN (SF) Vlatko Cancar | Questionable - Wrist

LAL (PG) D’Angelo Russell | Probable 

LAL (PF) Anthony Davis | Probable - Foot

LAL (C) Mo Bamba | Out - Ankle (at least 4 weeks)

MIA (PG) Kyle Lowry | Out - Knee

MIA (PF) Kevin Love | Probable - Rib

MIN (SG) Jaylen Nowell | Out - Knee

POR (G) Ryan Arcidiacono | Out - Back

POR (SG) Anfernee Simmons | Questionable - Ankle

SAS (SF) Doug McDermott | Probable - Thumb

SAS (C) Khem Birch | Out - Knee

SAS (SG) Romeo Langford | Probable - Thigh

SAS (F) Jeremy Sochan | Probable - Knee

TOR (SF) Will Barton | Probable - Illness

Weekend Picks 🔒

Tennis

Robert Bautista Agut-155 | Bautista Agut has faced Ruusuvuori once before and won the match. RBA is very accurate with his groundstrokes and should have the edge against a young player here.

CBB

Arkansas +100 | Arkansas shot the ball well again in its SEC Tournament opener and I expect more of the same against A&M. Arkansas finished the regular season with the second-best shooting percentage in the SEC. The Aggies have struggled on the defensive end as well.

XFL

Houston -8.5 | The roughnecks have gone 3-0 ATS this season. I’m going to keep riding them until they lose ATS.