Valspar Championship

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Developing Stories 📰

The PGA TOUR will put a bow on the Florida Swing this week at the Valspar Championship. Golfers are encouraged to hit lower clubs than driver on many on the par 4s which creates a lot of mid-iron and long-iron approaches. At last year's event, only 31 percent of approach shots originated from inside of 150 yards. This is not a wedge-friendly course. Water comes into play on up to nine holes which sounds like a lot but it's a big relief compared to recent events at TPC Sawgrass, Bay Hill, and PGA National. One way to look at the impact of the water is the rate of big numbers. The field finds double bogey or worse on 1.8% of holes at Innisbrook, while that rate sits around 2.9 percent when looking at the average of the other three Florida venues. Tree lines and doglegs urge golfers to shape their shots. Smart striking is important here because there are very few birdie opportunities to make up for silly short-sided mistakes. Looking at the turf, it's another week of overseeded conditions. The greens are relatively small at 5,822 square feet, while also being heavily sloped like you'd imagine from a classical-looking design. Last year aside, this is one of the toughest scoring environments they face all year, outside of majors. Here are some players I like in this weeks tournament:

Keegan Bradley +2200

Justin Rose +2200

Longshot- Wyndham Clark +4000

Headlines 🚨

On This Day in Sports History: 1912 legendary pitcher CY Young retires from baseball with 511-315 win-loss record.

Pittsburgh outplays Mississippi State in First Four game, will proceed to play Iowa State on Friday.

Texas A&M CC wins in First Four, to face #1 Alabama tomorrow.

Ja Morant enters counseling program in Florida and remains without a timetable on return to the NBA season.

Luka Doncic is ruled out tonight vs the Spurs with a thigh injury.

The Nationals sign C Keibert Ruiz to a 10-year deal that could be worth up to $76 million.

The Panthers trade the Bears for the #1 pick, The bears receive DJ Moore, the #9 pick, a second-round pick, a 2024 first-round pick and a second-round pick in 2025.

RB David Montgomery agrees on a 3 year $18 million deal to sign with the Detroit Lions.

The Jets and WR Allen Lazard agree to a 4-year $44 Million deal.

Oilers center Leon Draisaitl joins the 100 point club for the NHL season.

Trends 📈📉 via Oddsshark

🏀 Grizzlies at Heat

• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road

• The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

🏀 76ers at Cavaliers

• Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

• The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

• Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

🏀 Kings at Bulls

• Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road

• Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

• Chicago is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Sacramento

🏀 Celtics at Timberwolves

• Boston is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota

• Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota

• The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Boston

• The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games at home

🏀 Mavericks at Spurs

• Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

• Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Dallas

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games

🏀 Warriors at Clippers

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games

• LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

🎓🏀

Public Money 🤑 via VSiN at 9AMCT

🏀 NBA

44% of bets and 54% of money is on UNDER 230.5 DAL at SAS

47% of bets and 58% of money is on LAC -2

🎓🏀 NCAAB

33% of bets and 83% of money is on UNDER 124.5 ALCN vs UNT

46% of bets and 66% of money is on UNDER 142.5 SHSU vs SCU

10% of bets and 33% of money is on UNDER 134 ASU vs NEV

22% of bets and 54% of money is on OVER 162 UVU vs UNM

3.16.23

51% of bets and 86% of money is on UNDER 137.5 WVU vs MD

63% of bets and 88% of money is on UNDER 131.5 FUR vs UVA

32% of bets and 88% of money is on OVER 155.5 AMCC at BAMA

59% of bets and 84% of money is on UNDER 144 ILL vs ARK

64% of bets and 89% of money is on UNDER 152 AUB vs IOWA

58% of bets and 89% of money is on OVER 146 ORU vs DUKE

47% of bets and 76% of money is on COLG +13.5

42% of bets and 88% of money is on UNDER 128 BSU vs NW

52% of bets and 87% of money is on UNDER 136.5 ULL at TENN

27% of bets and 59% of money is on UNDER 134.5 PSU at TAMU

50% of bets and 78% of money is on UNCA +17.5

Future Odds 🔮 via Bovada Sportsbook

Injury Report 🏥 via ESPN

BOS (PG) Payton Pritchard | Out - Heel

BOS (C) Robert Williams III | Out - Hamstring

CLE (C) Jarrett Allen | Questionable 

CLE (SG) Donovan Mitchell | Questionable 

DAL (SG) Tim Hardaway Jr | Questionable

DAL (F) Christian Wood | Questionable - Foot

DAL (PG) Luka Doncic | Out - Thigh

DAL (PG) Kyrie Irving | Questionable - Foot

GSW (F) Andre Iguodala | Questionable 

GSW (PF) Jonathan Kuminga | Probable - Ankle

HOU (C) Alperen Sengun | Questionable - Groin

LAC (SG) Brandon Boston Jr | Questionable

LAL (PF) Anthony Davis | Out - Foot

LAL (SF) LeBron James | Out - Foot

MEM (G) Vince Williams Jr | Out - Shoulder

MEM (F) Jake LaRavia | Out - Back

MIA (PG) Kyle Lowry | Questionable - Knee

MIA (C) Cody Zeller | Out - Nose

MIN (SG) Jaylen Nowell | Questionable - Knee

MIN (SG) Austin Rivers | Questionable - Back

MIN (PF) Naz Reid | Questionable - Calf

MIN (C) Rudy Gobert | Questionable - Ankle

PHI (PF) Jalen McDaniels | Probable - Hip

SAC (F) Richaun Holmes | Out - Illness

SAS (SG) Romeo Langford | Questionable

SAS (PG) Tre Jones | Questionable 

SAS (SF) Keldon Johnson | Questionable 

Picks 🔒

San Diego State -5 | San Diego State is outscoring opponents by 8.5 points per game with a +279 scoring differential overall. They put up 72.1 points per game and give up 63.6 per contest (28th in college basketball). SDSU is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. They have the advantage for strength of schedule and should get this one done here.

Furman +5.5 | Virginia is 13-18-1 ATS this season and the Cavaliers have failed to cover in six of their last nine games. On the flip side, Furman is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 contests as well as 11-1 ATS in its last 12 outings on a Thursday.

Arizona State -2 | Arizona defense has been playing consistently better. The Sun Devils are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Arizona State plays a better brand of basketball and should have the edge here.