Tom Brady Has 3rd Consecutive Loss For First Time Since 2002

Good morning,

Let’s dive in…

Developing Stories 📰

Thanks Jeff for finally showing a decent TNF game last night. Tom and the Bucs held off Lamar and the Ravens through the first half. Once the second half started Lamar stole the show and threw two touchdowns in the 3rd quarter. The 4th quarter was back and forth field goals and the game ended with a last minute TB touchdown that wouldn’t effect the final outcome. Ravens get the W 27-22.

It’s another great weekend for CFB highlighted by three ranked matchups and even better they are all three staggered throughout the day;

• 11 AM CT - #2 OSU comes to #13 PSU as 15 point road favorites. Vegas expects OSU to roll here. I think PSU puts up a fight. I lean with PSU and the points.

• 2:30 PM CT - #8 OKST faces off with #22 KSU. KSU is a slim 1.5 home favorite.

• 6 PM CT - #19 UK heads to #3 TENN to try to knock off the red hot Volunteers. Again I lean toward the dog here. I’ll be taking UK +11.5 and a little bit of +300 ML

Headlines 🚨

Astros vs Phillies Game 1 the starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Justin Verlander

Tom Brady and Gisele Finalize divorce 

On this day in sports history: 1995 Atlanta braves win their 3rd title beating the Cleveland Indians 1-0 in game 6

Tom Brady Becomes the most sacked QB in NFL history

Adam Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for the 2023 season

Texas A&M suspends three players indefinitely for smoking pot in the locker room

Way too early CFB rankings: Georgia, Ohio State, Tennessee, Clemson

26 straight more days with NFL or CFB

Trends 📈📉

The over is 16-4-2 in Ohio State road games since 2017

Notre Dame is 8-2 ATS in road games since 2020

Florida is 31-14-4 ATS against AP Top 10 opponents over the past 20 seasons 

Stanford is 7-16-1 ATS as an underdog since 2019

The under is 25-10 in Cincinnati's last 35 road games since 2016

UCF is 9-19 ATS following a loss since 2015

The Bengals are 12-4 ATS against the browns since 2014

The Giants are 21-10 ATS as road underdogs since 2018

As a road underdog under Kliff Kingsbury the Cardinals are 15-3-2 ATS in regular season games.

The Under is 17-5 in Rams' home games since they started at SoFi Stadium

Public Money 🤑

🏀 %41 of bets and %90 of money is on UNDER 225.5 CHA vs NYK

🏀 %26 of bets and %83 of money is on UNDER 219 CLE vs BOS

🏀 %14 of bets and %57 of money is on UNDER 213.5 PHI vs TOR

🏀 %36 of bets and %55 of money is on IND +6

🏀 %33 of bets and %72 of money is on NYK +6.5

🏀 %65 of bets and %89 of money is on LAL +8.5

🏀 %57 of bets and %73 of money is on UTA +8.5

🏀 %54 of bets and %85 of money is on OVER 229.5 UTA vs DEN

🏀 %21 of bets and %94 of money is on UNDER 225 NO vs PHO

🏈 %29 of bets and %45 of money is on HOU +5

🏈 %28 of bets and %52 of money is on DEN +2.5

🏈 %37 of bets and %68 of money is on NE -3

🏈%37 of bets and %62 of money is on DAL -9.5

🏈 %56 of bets and %83 of money is on ARI +3.5

🏈 %33 of bets and %54 of money is on SEA -2.5

Future Odds 🔮

World series odds currently at: 

Astros -180/ Phillies +150 

Injury Report 🏥

Ja'Marr Chase (CIN)- Out 4-6 weeks / Hamstring issue

Ezekiel Elliot (DAL) - Questionable / Knee

Breece Hall (NYJ) - Out for season / ACL 

Deebo Samuel (SF) - Questionable / Hamstring

Allen Lazard (GB) - Doubtful / Shoulder

Michael Thomas (NO) - Doubtful / Foot

Darren Waller (LV) - Questionable / Hamstring

 Weekend Picks 🔒

Texas Tech -2.5

• I’m giving the edge to the home team here. Tech has something special in Behren Morton and I think he does enough to give the Red Raiders the win. Techs main goal on defense will have to hold Richard Reese who ran for 186 yards against Kansas last week. Lets see if Joey McGuire can go 1-0 against his old mentor Dave Aranda  

Toledo/Eastern Michigan O 54

• The over has cashed in the previous 13 games for Toledo. Eastern Michigan has exceeded expectations averaging 358 yards per game and has an excellent red zone offense converting %95.83 of the time. Toldeo defense has been slow which will give EMU many opportunities to score. 

Arizona +3.5

• The Cardinals are a decent road team. They are 2-1 ATS so far. I like the matchup vs the Vikings who have played a mediocre schedule through their first six games. I expect Kyler and D-hop to have a big day.

World series Prop Bet: 

Astros to win GM 1 and Win the Series -130