Regular Season Finale

Lots on the line in week 18

Good morning,

Letโ€™s dive inโ€ฆ

Developing Stories ๐Ÿ“ฐ

The 2022 regular season will wrap up this weekend with a full Week 18 slate that stretches from Saturday to Sunday. Even with just one week remaining, there's still plenty to be determined, including the No. 1 seeds in both the AFC and NFC. the Jaguars and Titans facing off for the AFC South title, the Packers hosting the Lions with a playoff berth and an AFC North showdown between the Bengals and Ravens. The Pittsburgh Steelers remain alive in the playoff conversation entering Week 18. They need a win with a Patriots and Dolphins loss. If the Chiefs want to have any shot at earning the top overall seed in the AFC, they must win this game. The Raiders have nothing to play for except pride after blowing another double-digit lead in Week 16. No team has been better this season at blowing leads than the Raiders. Not only do the Jags have to play on a short week, but they'll be playing a Titans team that played on Thursday in Week 17, so Tennessee will be going into this game with three extra days of rest. The winner of this game will clinch the division and go to the playoffs. No team has been better at losing this year than the Texans and they have every reason to want to lose this game since a loss will clinch the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. On the other hand, if Houston wins, the Bears could get the top pick with a loss to Minnesota, so Texans fans actually want the Texans to lose. 

Headlines ๐Ÿšจ

As of this morning, the breathing tube is out of Damar Hamlin and he is breathing and talking on his own

Former Madden 12 cover, star RB Peyton Hillis is in critical condition after saving kids from drowning

Michigan under NCAA investigaton for alleged violations during Covid 19 recruiting dead period

Texas fires Chris Beard amid domestic violation charges

Top QB transfer Sam Hartman transfers to Notre Dame for final season

On this day in Sports History: 1681 First recorded boxing match is engineered by Christopher Monck, 2nd Duke of Albemarle; his butler vs his butcher

1976 Ted Turner purchases Atlanta Braves for reported $12 million       

XFL announces its 2023 season kickoff game for February 18th

Carlos Correaโ€™s camp contacting other teams as Mets contract holdup continues

Texas A&M hires Bobby Petrino to join Jimbo Fisher less than one month after accepting role at UNLV

Trends ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰ via Oddsshark

๐Ÿˆ Chiefs at Raiders

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

  • Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

๐Ÿˆ Titans at Jaguars

  • Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville

  • Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

  • Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games 

  • Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

๐Ÿˆ Buccaneers at Falcons

  • Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games 

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

๐Ÿˆ Patriots at Bills

  • New England is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

  • New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

  • Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games 

  • Buffalo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

๐Ÿˆ Ravens at Bengals

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games 

  • Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

  • Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

  • Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

๐Ÿˆ Texans at Colts

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 13 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Houston

  • Indianapolis is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Houston

๐Ÿˆ Jets at Dolphins

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road

  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Jets's last 11 games 

  • Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home

๐Ÿˆ Panthers at Saints

  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games

๐Ÿˆ Browns at Steelers

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games 

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games on the road

  • Pittsburgh is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cleveland

  • Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

  • The browns have not finished with a better regular season record than the Steelers have since 1990

๐Ÿˆ Giants at Eagles

  • NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

  • NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games 

  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home

๐Ÿˆ Chargers at Broncos 

  • LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games 

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road

  • Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Chargers

  • Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

๐Ÿˆ Cardinals at 49ers

  • Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

  • Arizona is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

  • San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

  • San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

๐Ÿˆ Rams at Seahawks

  • LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Seattle

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games on the road

  • Seattle is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against LA Rams

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing LA Rams

๐Ÿˆ Lions at Packers

  • Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games 

  • Detroit is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Green Bay

  • Green Bay is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit

  • Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Public Money ๐Ÿค‘ via VSiN at 10AMCT

๐Ÿˆ NFL 

38% of bets and 62% of money is on UNDER 37 NYJ at MIA

39% of bets and 60% of money is on UNDER 43 MIN at CHI

46% of bets and 68% of money is on NO -3.5

23% of bets and 59% of money is on DEN -3

๐Ÿ€ NBA

26% of bets and 46% of money is on UNDER 218 NYK at TOR

47% of bets and 77% of money is on OVER 236 DET at SAS

27% of bets and 55% of money is on UNDER 214 MIA at PHO

39% of bets and 59% of money is on ATL -2

Future Odds ๐Ÿ”ฎ via Bovada Sportsbook

Injury Report ๐Ÿฅ via ESPN

ARI (RB) James Conner| Doubtful - Shin/Knee

ARI (WR) Robbie Anderson | Doubtful - Back

BAL (QB) Lamar Jackson | Questionable - Knee

BAL (QB) Tyler Huntley | Questionable - Shoulder/Wrist

BAL (WR) DeSean Jackson | Questionable - Illness

BUF (QB) Josh Allen | Probable - Ankle/Elbow

BUF (TE) Dawson Knox | Probable - Hip

CHI (QB) Justin Fields | Out - Hip

CLE (WR) Amari Cooper | Probable - Hip

DEN (WR) Jerry Jeudy | Questionable - Ankle

GB (WR) Christian Watson | Probable - Hip

GB (RB) Aaron Jones | Questionable - Ankle/Knee

HOU (TE) OJ Howard | Questionable - Hip

HOU (WR) Phillip Dorsett | Questionable - Hip

JAX (QB) Trevor Lawrence | Questionable - Toe

KC (WR) Mecole Hardman | Questionable - Pelvis

KC (WR) Skyy Moore | Doubtful - Hand

LV (RB) Josh Jacobs | Questionable - Hip/Oblique

MIA (WR) Jalen Waddle | Questionable - Shoulder

MIA (QB) Teddy Bridgewater | Questionable - Finger/Knee

MIA (WR) Cedrick Wilson Jr | Doubtful - Hip

NE (WR) Jacobi Meyers | Questionable - Shoulder

NE (TE) Jonnu Smith | Questionable - Concussion 

NO (TE) Taysom Hill | Questionable - Back

NO (TE) Juwan Johnson | Questionable - Quadriceps 

NYJ (QB) Mike White | Questionable - Ribs

PHI (RB) Miles Sanders | Questionable - Knee

PHI (QB) Jalen Hurts | Probable - Shoulder

SF (QB) Brock Purdy | Questionable - Oblique/Ribs 

SF (WR) Deebo Samuel | Questionable - Ankle/Knee

SF (RB) Elijah Mitchell | Probable - Knee

SF (RB) Christian McCaffrey | Doubtful - Ankle/Knee

SEA (RB) Kenneth Walker III | Questionable - Ankle/Illness

SEA (RB) Travis Homer | Questionable - Ankle

SEA (WR) Tyler Lockett | Questionable - Shin

SEA (TE) Noah Fant | Questionable - Knee

WSH (RB) Brian Robinson Jr | Doubtful - Knee

WSH (RB) Antonio Gibson | IR - Foot/Knee

 Weekend Picks ๐Ÿ”’

Las Vegas +9

  • Playing a division rival that has nothing to play for can be a trap because the Raiders would love nothing more than to play spoiler for the Chiefsโ€™ playoff bye hopes. Stidham looked impressive against a great 49ers defense last week and almost led the Raiders to a surprise victory. If he had that sort of success against the NFLโ€™s top-scoring defense, he should be able to see similar results against the Chiefs defense.

Tennessee +6.5

  • Despite the difficulties of late for the Titans, RB Derrick Henry will carry the ball 30 or more times. Tennessee does not want to rely on Dobbs but it might need to if Jacksonville wants to contain Henry. Lawrence and the Jaguars will be happy getting to the playoffs. The 6-point line is too big for either side.

Minnesota -7 -120

  • Iโ€™m going with Minnesota to cover. the Bears have been awful over the last few weeks. Four of their previous five losses have come by nine or more points and the Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Green Bay NFC Champions 12/1

  • I believe this is great value on a team whoโ€™s defense and run game has been great as of late. When is comes to the playoffs its the rushing offense and redzone defense that matters the most. The Packers have been thriving in these categories as of late. Most teams in the league will also struggle tremendously playing against the Packers in the cold. This gives the Packers a slight edge. I think this number should be around +800.