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Regular Season Finale
Lots on the line in week 18
Good morning,
Letโs dive inโฆ

Developing Stories ๐ฐ
The 2022 regular season will wrap up this weekend with a full Week 18 slate that stretches from Saturday to Sunday. Even with just one week remaining, there's still plenty to be determined, including the No. 1 seeds in both the AFC and NFC. the Jaguars and Titans facing off for the AFC South title, the Packers hosting the Lions with a playoff berth and an AFC North showdown between the Bengals and Ravens. The Pittsburgh Steelers remain alive in the playoff conversation entering Week 18. They need a win with a Patriots and Dolphins loss. If the Chiefs want to have any shot at earning the top overall seed in the AFC, they must win this game. The Raiders have nothing to play for except pride after blowing another double-digit lead in Week 16. No team has been better this season at blowing leads than the Raiders. Not only do the Jags have to play on a short week, but they'll be playing a Titans team that played on Thursday in Week 17, so Tennessee will be going into this game with three extra days of rest. The winner of this game will clinch the division and go to the playoffs. No team has been better at losing this year than the Texans and they have every reason to want to lose this game since a loss will clinch the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. On the other hand, if Houston wins, the Bears could get the top pick with a loss to Minnesota, so Texans fans actually want the Texans to lose.
Headlines ๐จ
As of this morning, the breathing tube is out of Damar Hamlin and he is breathing and talking on his own
Former Madden 12 cover, star RB Peyton Hillis is in critical condition after saving kids from drowning
Michigan under NCAA investigaton for alleged violations during Covid 19 recruiting dead period
Texas fires Chris Beard amid domestic violation charges
Top QB transfer Sam Hartman transfers to Notre Dame for final season
On this day in Sports History: 1681 First recorded boxing match is engineered by Christopher Monck, 2nd Duke of Albemarle; his butler vs his butcher
1976 Ted Turner purchases Atlanta Braves for reported $12 million
XFL announces its 2023 season kickoff game for February 18th
Carlos Correaโs camp contacting other teams as Mets contract holdup continues
Texas A&M hires Bobby Petrino to join Jimbo Fisher less than one month after accepting role at UNLV
Trends ๐๐ via Oddsshark
๐ Chiefs at Raiders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
๐ Titans at Jaguars
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
๐ Buccaneers at Falcons
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
๐ Patriots at Bills
New England is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
๐ Ravens at Bengals
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
๐ Texans at Colts
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 13 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Houston
๐ Jets at Dolphins
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Jets's last 11 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
๐ Panthers at Saints
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
๐ Browns at Steelers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The browns have not finished with a better regular season record than the Steelers have since 1990
๐ Giants at Eagles
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
๐ Chargers at Broncos
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
๐ Cardinals at 49ers
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
๐ Rams at Seahawks
LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing LA Rams
๐ Lions at Packers
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Public Money ๐ค via VSiN at 10AMCT
๐ NFL
38% of bets and 62% of money is on UNDER 37 NYJ at MIA
39% of bets and 60% of money is on UNDER 43 MIN at CHI
46% of bets and 68% of money is on NO -3.5
23% of bets and 59% of money is on DEN -3
๐ NBA
26% of bets and 46% of money is on UNDER 218 NYK at TOR
47% of bets and 77% of money is on OVER 236 DET at SAS
27% of bets and 55% of money is on UNDER 214 MIA at PHO
39% of bets and 59% of money is on ATL -2
Future Odds ๐ฎ via Bovada Sportsbook



Injury Report ๐ฅ via ESPN

ARI (RB) James Conner| Doubtful - Shin/Knee
ARI (WR) Robbie Anderson | Doubtful - Back
BAL (QB) Lamar Jackson | Questionable - Knee
BAL (QB) Tyler Huntley | Questionable - Shoulder/Wrist
BAL (WR) DeSean Jackson | Questionable - Illness
BUF (QB) Josh Allen | Probable - Ankle/Elbow
BUF (TE) Dawson Knox | Probable - Hip
CHI (QB) Justin Fields | Out - Hip
CLE (WR) Amari Cooper | Probable - Hip
DEN (WR) Jerry Jeudy | Questionable - Ankle
GB (WR) Christian Watson | Probable - Hip
GB (RB) Aaron Jones | Questionable - Ankle/Knee
HOU (TE) OJ Howard | Questionable - Hip
HOU (WR) Phillip Dorsett | Questionable - Hip
JAX (QB) Trevor Lawrence | Questionable - Toe
KC (WR) Mecole Hardman | Questionable - Pelvis
KC (WR) Skyy Moore | Doubtful - Hand
LV (RB) Josh Jacobs | Questionable - Hip/Oblique
MIA (WR) Jalen Waddle | Questionable - Shoulder
MIA (QB) Teddy Bridgewater | Questionable - Finger/Knee
MIA (WR) Cedrick Wilson Jr | Doubtful - Hip
NE (WR) Jacobi Meyers | Questionable - Shoulder
NE (TE) Jonnu Smith | Questionable - Concussion
NO (TE) Taysom Hill | Questionable - Back
NO (TE) Juwan Johnson | Questionable - Quadriceps
NYJ (QB) Mike White | Questionable - Ribs
PHI (RB) Miles Sanders | Questionable - Knee
PHI (QB) Jalen Hurts | Probable - Shoulder
SF (QB) Brock Purdy | Questionable - Oblique/Ribs
SF (WR) Deebo Samuel | Questionable - Ankle/Knee
SF (RB) Elijah Mitchell | Probable - Knee
SF (RB) Christian McCaffrey | Doubtful - Ankle/Knee
SEA (RB) Kenneth Walker III | Questionable - Ankle/Illness
SEA (RB) Travis Homer | Questionable - Ankle
SEA (WR) Tyler Lockett | Questionable - Shin
SEA (TE) Noah Fant | Questionable - Knee
WSH (RB) Brian Robinson Jr | Doubtful - Knee
WSH (RB) Antonio Gibson | IR - Foot/Knee
Weekend Picks ๐

Las Vegas +9
Playing a division rival that has nothing to play for can be a trap because the Raiders would love nothing more than to play spoiler for the Chiefsโ playoff bye hopes. Stidham looked impressive against a great 49ers defense last week and almost led the Raiders to a surprise victory. If he had that sort of success against the NFLโs top-scoring defense, he should be able to see similar results against the Chiefs defense.
Tennessee +6.5
Despite the difficulties of late for the Titans, RB Derrick Henry will carry the ball 30 or more times. Tennessee does not want to rely on Dobbs but it might need to if Jacksonville wants to contain Henry. Lawrence and the Jaguars will be happy getting to the playoffs. The 6-point line is too big for either side.
Minnesota -7 -120
Iโm going with Minnesota to cover. the Bears have been awful over the last few weeks. Four of their previous five losses have come by nine or more points and the Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Green Bay NFC Champions 12/1
I believe this is great value on a team whoโs defense and run game has been great as of late. When is comes to the playoffs its the rushing offense and redzone defense that matters the most. The Packers have been thriving in these categories as of late. Most teams in the league will also struggle tremendously playing against the Packers in the cold. This gives the Packers a slight edge. I think this number should be around +800.