Phillies Blast Their Way To 2-1 Series Lead

Good morning,

Let’s dive in…

Developing Stories 📰

It was a good night for Philly fans as the Phils hit five home runs against the Astros. McCullers struggled hard as the Phillies hit three bombs in their first nine at bats. If the Phillies bats stay this hot the series may not make it back to Houston. 

We have another Texas vs Philadelphia matchup on Thursday as the Eagles come to Houston to take on the Texans. This is expected to be similar to game 3 of the World Series as the undefeated Eagles come in as 14 point favorites against the 1-5-1 Texans. 

Headlines 🚨

Brooklyn fires head coach Steve Nash

ESPN sells X-Games to private equity group MSP Sports Capital 

Bradley Chubb traded to the Dolphins 

Nyheim Hines traded to they Bills for Zack Moss and a 2023 6th round pick

Calvin Ridley traded to the Jags

Jeff Wilson traded to the Dolphins

Chase Claypool traded to the Bears

TJ Hockenson traded to the Vikings

Roquan Smith traded to the Ravens

Mike Zimmer’s son and former assistant coach for the Vikings has passed away at 38

Auburn has paid roughly $37 million in head coach buyouts in less than two years

Dan Snyder hires Bank of America to sell the Washington Commanders 

Trends 📈📉

The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in the First half this season 

The OVER is 4-1 L5 games PHI vs HOU

NBA home dogs are 22-15 ATS (59.5%)

NBA Away teams are 39-66 SU (37.1%)

The Cavaliers are 5-0 SU and ATS L5 games

The Spurs are 17-3 at home vs the Raptors L20 games

The Trailblazers are 5-1 SU and ATS L6 games

Public Money 🤑

🏈 83% of bets and 88% of money is on Eagles -13

🏀 80% of bets and 92% of money is on Celtics -2

🏀 77% of bets and 97% of money is on Pelicans -3

🏈 46% of bets and 99% of money is on Fresno State -24.5

🏈 93% of bets and 98% of money is on Memphis +3.5

🏈 66% of bets and 97% of money is on Washington State -5

🏈 79% of bets and 95% of money is on Tennessee +8.5

Future Odds 🔮

Injury Report 🏥

Nico Collins (HOU) - Questionable

Brandin Cooks (HOU) - Questionable 

Joel Embiid (PHI)- OUT

Fred VanVleet (TOR) - OUT

Damian Lillard (POR) - OUT

Kawhi Leonard (LAC)- OUT

De'Aron Fox (SAC) - OUT

Victor Oladipo (MIA)- OUT

Terry Rozier (CHA) - OUT

Zach LaVine (CHI) - OUT

Khris MIddleton (MIL)- OUT 

Picks 🔒

Texan/Eagles Under 45 - The under in primetime games this year is 16-9 (64%). I like the number here at 45. The eagles are the deepest team in the league and the numbers show it. This game is going to be very one sided and both teams are on the bottom half of NFL pace ranks: PHI(19) 28.32 seconds per play and HOU(21) 28.6 seconds per play. The spread has gotten to large for me to take and I expect the Texans to struggle against this Eagles defense. 

Memphis Grizzlies -4.5  - Sharp money is on the Grizzlies today and I'm going to follow it. Damian Lillard is out for the Trail Blazers tonight which gives the Grizzlies an advantage who rank 3rd in offense (118.1 PPG). Without their best player in Lillard I just don't see the Blazers getting a win against the Grizzlies. Desmond bane and Steven Adams are questionable but expected to play as well. 

Phillies/Astros under 7.5 - Tonight we have Aaron Nola vs Cristian Javier.  Houston's pitching staff has been difficult for any opponent to touch leading the MLB with a 2.80 ERA and 10.45 strikeouts per nine innings. Javier has a 1.35 ERA in the playoffs with a .494 OPS allowed (A good OPS for a batter is .800 or higher). Philadelphia is starting Nola who led all MLB starting pitchers in wins above replacement. HE held a .96 WHIP and .604 OPS on the season. This should be a pitcher battle to start the game off tonight so I see some value in the under. 

Tennis: Hubert Hurkacz-160: I don't lay much Juice on tennis but this line is way off. Hubert has a big serve which helps him when facing break points. His opponent Holger Rune is a head case. If things don't go to his way he will lash out on the court and this will affect him.  Im going with the #10 and more experienced player here.