Mexico Open Preview

Good morning,

Letโ€™s dive inโ€ฆ

Developing Stories ๐Ÿ“ฐ

Located just off the scenic coast of Puerto Vallarta in Mexico, Vidanta Vallarta is a resort-style course crafted by the renowned Greg Norman. Despite its challenging length this course, which essentially hugs the sea level, has witnessed remarkably low scores transforming into a birdie haven on both prior occasions. With its generous wider-than-average fairways navigating this straightforward layout presents abundant scoring opportunities for those steering clear of water hazards and excessive bunkering. Throughout the course paspalum grass prevails, specifically engineered to endure the tropical heat and high salt content offering a sticky spongy playing surface that yields minimal to zero roll upon impact. This characteristic becomes particularly pertinent this week, emphasizing the significance of carry distance over total driving distance as a more accurate measure of length.

At Vidanta Vallarta, there are no gimmicks; success demands both length off the tee and precision with long irons. Last season, a significant majority of approach shots fell within the 175-250 yard range, surpassing the tour average by about 20%. This venue heavily favors big hitters and rewards proficiency on the slower, paspalum greens, making it crucial to identify optimal player-course fits.

The four par 5s, spanning between 548 and 637 yards, surprisingly ranked among the easiest holes last season, despite their considerable length. Notably, the driveable par-4 7th hole, at a mere 297 yards, consistently played well below par, showcasing its unique challenge. True to Norman's design ethos, the course features an abundance of bunkers; however, many are strategically positioned to not overly penalize professional players.

With fairways averaging over 40 yards wide and negligible rough, players can confidently wield their drivers throughout the tournament. However, missing significantly to the right poses the only real risk of water hazards, often necessitating a forced carry and a considerable setback from playing competitors.

Nicolai Hojgaard +1400 (.3U)

Stephen Jaeger +2500 (.25U)

Keith Mitchell +2200 (.25U)

Erik Van Rooyen +3300 (.2U)

Headlines ๐Ÿšจ

On This Day in Sport History: 1948 NASCAR is incorporated,

1989 Pete Rose meets with commissioner Ueberroth to discuss his gambling,

2021 Novak Djokovic wins a record 9th Australian Open beating Daniil Medvedev in straight sets.

Creighton beat No.1 UConn 85-66 after losing their previous 6 meetings.

The College Football Playoff board approves 5+7 model for the 12-team playoff.

LIV golf Joaquin Niemann was among 3 players to get a special invitation to play the Masters tournament.

 Bayern Munich coach Tuchel to leave at the end of the season.

Patriots captain Mathhew Slater announces retirement after 16 seasons and 3 Super bowls.

The Phoenix Suns sign veteran Thaddeus Young as they try to make a stretch for the playoffs.

Apple launches new sports scores app.

Trends ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰ via Oddsshark

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€ ILL at PSU

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 5 games on the road

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games at home

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€ DAY at GMU

  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dayton's last 12 games when playing George Mason

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€ FLA at BAMA

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Alabama

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€ DUKE at MIA

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€ UK at LSU

  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Kentucky's last 14 games on the road

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 6 games at home

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€ CSU at NMSU

  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado State's last 15 games on the road

๐Ÿ’ Sabres at Canadians

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal

๐Ÿ’ Flyers at Blackhawks

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago

๐Ÿ’ Blue Jackets at Ducks

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing Anaheim

  • Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus

  • Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus

๐Ÿ’ Maple Leafs at Coyotes

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona

๐Ÿ’ Bruins at Oilers

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Edmonton

  • Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

  • Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

๐Ÿ€ Nets at Raptors

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games at home

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn

๐Ÿ€ Pistons at Pacers

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Indiana

๐Ÿ€ Knicks at 76ers

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road

  • The total has gone UNDER in 18 of New York's last 23 games

  • Philadelphia is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing New York

  • Philadelphia is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New York

๐Ÿ€ Rockets at Pelicans

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Houston

  • New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

๐Ÿ€ Lakers at Warriors

  • The total has gone OVER in 18 of LA Lakers's last 21 games on the road

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

  • Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games 

Public Money ๐Ÿค‘ via VSiN at 9AMCT

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€ NCAAB

31% of bets and 50% of money is on MIA +6.5

34% of bets and 72% of money is on OVER 150.5 DEP at #7 MARQ

42% of bets and 70% of money is on OVER 163 #17 UK at LSU

47% of bets and 80% of money is on NMSU -7

30% of bets and 66% of money is on OVER 157 #22 CSU at NMSU

๐Ÿ’ NHL

58% of bets and 78% of money is on OVER 6.5 BUF at MTL

24% of bets and 52% is on EDM -1.5 (+180)

53% of bets and 73% of money is on OVER 6.5 COL at ANA

Future Odds ๐Ÿ”ฎ via Bovada Sportsbook

Mexico Open

Picks ๐Ÿ”’

Miami +5.5 | The Hurricanes are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games and pose a threat to Duke tonight. They should be able to keep it close.

New Mexico -6.5 | The Lobos are 9-3 ATS at home. The Rams have not covered a spread in a loss while NM covered every game, they have won in conference played.