Lamar vs Tom

Good morning,

Let’s dive in…

Developing Stories 📰

Thursday night we have the Baltimore Ravens vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs are hoping to avoid their third consecutive home loss vs the Ravens on TNF. Tampa has been struggling recently coming off their fourth defeat in 5 games. One of which was Tom Brady’s second worst loss ever last week when they lost to the Panthers 21-3. Baltimore ranks 5th in rushing mostly thanks to Lamar Jackson who has had a great season so far. He may not need to run as Gus Edwards had 66 yards and a couple of touchdowns last week. Tom Brady has never lost 3 consecutive games in his career. Tom brady has only been a home underdog 12 times in his career and has covered 11 out of those 12 times. Most people expect a bounce back game here for Brady and I can honestly see the game going either way. The only lean I have for Thursday nights game is to take the Under. 

Headlines 🚨

Matt Ryan benched for the rest of the season for Sam Ehlinger

Former OROY and OPOY Todd Gurley II retires from the NFL after six seasons

NFL and Amazon announce a “Black Friday” game which will stream on Prime Video the Friday after Thanksgiving - starting Nov 24, 2023

Iowa vs Northwestern O/U is set at 31.5 - the lowest set total in CFB history

Aaron Rodgers is a double digit underdog for the first time in his career

Vegas forward Phil Kessel sets record for most consecutive games at 990

Rory Mcilroy say the feud between PGA and LIV is "out of control" 

Trends 📈📉

🏈 NFL underdogs are 62-45-1 ATS this season. This is the best start over the last 20 years. 

🏈 The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BAL L5 

🏈 The total has gone UNDER in 6 of TB L7

🏈 The total has gone UNDER in 6 of L7 BAL vs TB

🏀 ORL is 7-1 ATS vs CLE L8

🏀 TOR is 20-5 SU at PHI L25

🏀 NYK is 5-0 ATS L5

🏀 MIL is 6-1 SU at home vs BKN

🏀 SAS is 9-2-1 L12 and 8-2-1 L11 on the road

🏀 UTAH is 16-4 L20 at home

Public Money 🤑

🏈 86% of bets are on the Bengals -3

🏈 79% of bets are on Ravens -1.5

🏈 87% of bets are on USC -15.5

🏈 87% of bets are on UCLA -16.5

🏈 81% of bets are on Ole Miss -2.5

🏀 %37 of bets and %53 of money is on UNDER 218 ORL vs CLE 

🏀 %33 of bets and %55 of money is on OVER 229 ATL vs DET

🏀 %34 of bets and %56 of money is on BKN ML (+150)

🏀 %63 of bets and %84 of money is on CHI -8

🏀 %46 of bets and %80 of money is on MIN -9

🏀 %50 of bets and %66 of money is on OVER 227 LAL vs DEN

🏀 %33 of bets and %57 of money is on MIA -2.5

🏀 %39 of bets and %54 of money is on UNDER 221.5 MIA vs POR

Future Odds 🔮

Injury Report 🏥

WR Rashod Bateman ( BAL) - Questionable

TE Mark Andrews (BAL) - Questionable 

RB Gus Edwards (BAL)- Questionable 

WR Mike Evans (TB) - Questionable

WR Russell Gage (TB) - Questionable 

Picks 🔒

Miami Heat -2.5: Miami had a top 5 defense last season giving up only 105.6 points per game and Portland was fourth worst offensively scoring 106.2 per game. The Trail Blazers have a few injuries which moved the line to the heats favor. The heat have started slow but expected to pick things up in tonight’s matchup.