- Backdoor Cover
- Posts
- Who is Bringing the Lombardi Trophy Home?
Who is Bringing the Lombardi Trophy Home?
Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl LVII
Good morning,
Letโs dive inโฆ
Developing Stories ๐ฐ

Sundays Super Bowl LVII matchup looks perfect. The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs will kick off on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. Both of these teams were the #1 seed in their conferences. This has only happened 13 times since the playoffs started seeding teams. The Eagles are currently a 1.5 favorite and the Over/Under is set at 51.
Philadelphia has three strengths in this game that can give the Chiefs problems: A mobile quarterback, a spread offense and a defense that can create pressure with just four rushers. This matchup will come down to who wins in the trenches. On paper the Eagles are better on both sides of the ball. The Eagles led the NFL in sacks and generally don't have to blitz to get to the quarterback. They rank first in both pass rush win rate (52%) and sack rate (11%), along with fifth in pressure percentage (33%). Mahomes doesn't seem to be as mobile since his high ankle sprain. Heavy pressure on Mahomes ruined the Chiefs' chances of winning Super Bowl LV but the Chiefs have upgraded their offensive line since then. They will need their linemen to step up against this top defense. The Chiefs line lead the league in pass block win rate this season (76%).
The Chiefs averaged the most passing yards per game, while the Eagles allowed the fewest passing yards on defense. It's just the third Super Bowl matchup to feature the No. 1 passing offense against the No. 1 passing defense. Mahomes had another MVP season. He threw for over 5,000 yards and led the NFL in touchdown passes. This will be his 14th postseason game in five seasons as a starter. His record is 10-3 so far in those games. His ankle is a concern, but Mahomes threw for 326 yards and two touchdown passes in the AFC Championship Game with the injury. Can Mahomes win his Second Super Bowl? Or will it be the dominant Eagles?
Headlines ๐จ
NFL Awards Winners
MVP: Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs quarterback
Coach of the Year: Brian Daboll, NY Giants
Comeback Palyer of the Year: Geno Smith, Seahawks quarterback
Offensive Player of the Year: Justin Jefferson, Vikings wide reciever
Defensive Player of the Year: Nick Bosa, 49ers defensive end
Offesnive Rookie of the Year: Garrett Wilson, NY Jets wide reciever
Walter Payton Man of the Year: Dak Prescott, Cowboys quarterback
2023 Pro Football Hall of Fame Class: Ronde Barber; Darrelle Revis; Joe Thomas; Zach Thomas; DeMarcus Ware; Don Coryell (coach/contributor); Chuck Howley (senior); Joe Klecko (senior); Ken Riley (senior)
NBA Trades
Kevin Durant Traded to the Phoenix Suns
Kyrie Irving traded to the Dallas Mavericks
Eric Gordon traded to the Los Angeles Clippers
Patrick Beverly traded to the Orlando Magic
Russell Westbrook traded to the Utah Jazz
Trends ๐๐ via Oddsshark
๐ Chiefs vs Eagles
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
๐ Suns at Pacers
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
๐ Knicks at 76ers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
New York is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Philadelphia is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
Philadelphia is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against New York
๐ Spurs at Pistons
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
๐ Hornets at Celtics
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Charlotte
๐ Jazz at Raptors
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Utah
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
๐ Rockets at Heat
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
๐ Timberwolves at Grizzlies
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 10 games
๐ Cavaliers at Pelicans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
๐ Mavericks at Kings
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
๐ Thunder at Trailblazers
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
Portland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
๐ Bucks at Clippers
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
๐๐ #13 XAV at BUT
Xavier is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Butler
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Xavier's last 5 games when playing Butler
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Butler's last 8 games at home
๐ Maple Leafs at Blue Jackets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games at home
๐ Kraken at Rangers
Seattle is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
๐ Coyotes at Blackhawks
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
๐ Penguins at Ducks
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
๐ Canucks at Red Wings
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Vancouver
Public Money ๐ค via VSiN at 9AMCT
๐ NFL - SUPER BOWL LVII
68% of bets and 71% of money is on PHI -1.5
45% of bets and 50% of money is on PHI ML -125
54% of bets and 56% of money is on OVER 56 KC vs PHI
68% of bets and 85% of money is on Mahomes OVER 294.5 pass yards
68% of bets and 86% of money is on Hurts UNDER 241.5 pass yards
40% of bets and 75% of money is on Pacheco UNDER 49.5 rush yards
15% of bets and 31% of money is on Gainwell UNDER 19.5 rush yards
18% of bets and 49% of money is on Sanders UNDER 4.5 rec yards
31% of bets and 66% of money is on Goedert OVER 4.5 receptions
54% of bets and 80% of money is on Sanders UNDER 1.5 receptions
๐ NBA
47% of bets and 85% of money is on MIA -12
43% of bets and 95% of money is on UNDER 222 HOU at MIA
24% of bets and 72% of money is on UNDER 224 CLE at NOP
49% of bets and 66% of money is on UNDER 241.5 OKC at POR
34% of bets and 91% of money is on LAC -2.5
27% of bets and 96% of money is on UNDER 227 MIL at LAC
Future Odds ๐ฎ via Bovada Sportsbook







Injury Report ๐ฅ via ESPN

Clyde Edwards-Helaire activated from IR
๐ NFL
KC (RB) Clyde Edwards-Helaire | Activated from IR
KC (WR) Mecole Hardman | Out - Pelvis
KC (CB) LโJarius Snead | Questionable - Knee
PHI (G) Landon Dickerson | Questionable
PHI (C) Cam Jurgens | Questionable
PHI (CB) Avonte Maddox | Questionable
PHI (OT) Lane Johnson | Questionable
๐ NBA
BOS (SF) Jason Tatum | Questionable - Illness
BOS (PG) Marcus Smart | Out - Ankle
BOS (C) Al Horford | Probable - Knee
BOS (C) Robert Williams III | Probable - Ankle
CHA (SF) Cody Martin | Out - Knee
CLE (PG) Ricky Rubio | Out - Knee
DAL (PG) Luka Doncic | Questionable - Heel
DET (C) Nerlens Noel | Out - Personal
DET (C) James Wiseman | Probable
HOU (SG) Kevin Porter Jr | Out - Foot
LAC (SF) Kawhi Leonard | Out - Knee
MIA (SG) Victor Oladipo | Out - Ankle
MIA (F) Duncan Robinson | Questionable - Finger
MIN (C) Rudy Gobert | Questionable - Groin
PHI (C) Joel Embiid | Questionable - Foot
POR (PF) Justise Winslow | Out - Ankle
POR (C) Ibou Badji | Out - Knee
POR (SG) Keon Johnson | Questionable - Ankle
SAS (SF) Keldon Johnson | Questionable
TOR (SF) O.G. Anunoby | Out - Wrist
Weekend Picks ๐

Kelce OVER 78.5 receiving yards | The star tight end is a postseason beast, averaging 86.3 receiving yards in 17 career playoff games. In his two Super Bowls, Kelce has averaged 88 yards per game.
Mahomes OVER 38.5 Pass attempts | Andy Reid knows his best shot at winning his second Super Bowl title is relying on his MVP QB. Mahomes is averaging 39.3 pass attempts over his last nine playoff games. Heโs gone over 38.5 throws in five of his previous six playoff appearances and heโs attempted 42 and 49 pass attempts in his last two Super Bowls.
Gainwell Over 19.5 rushing yards | Gainwell has easily hit this total in three straight games. With double-digit carries in his last two games, this line is far too low.