Astros Stay Hot

Good morning,

Let’s dive in… 

Developing Stories 📰

Once again we were stuck with a mediocre Thursday night football game. Things started slow and stayed slow in this game as it finished WSH 12 - CHI 7. The total landed 19 points under the total set by Vegas. Carson Wentz finished the night with only 99 passing yards and zero touchdowns. The highlight for the Commanders was Brian Robinson getting a score and looking like the RB 1 for the Commanders in his second game back from being shot multiple times. 

The Astros stay hot as they head to Seattle up 2-0 in the series. Kyle Tucker started things off for the Astros with a solo homerun in the 2nd inning. Seattle battled back to take a 2-1 lead. That is, until Yordan Alverez came back up to the plate and smashed a two run homerun. Jeremey Peña has been crucial in the series as he has gotten on scored  two of the Stros’ three runs yesterday.

Headlines 🚨

On this day Sports history:

October 14th, 1979: NHL's greatest scorer Wayne Gretzky scores his first NHL goal.

October 14th, 2003: Fan Steve Bartman deflects the ball away from outfielder Moises Alou. Cubs give up 8 runs in the inning. This incident is seen as the turning point that cost the cubs the World Series.

Connor McDavid opens up the season with a hat trick - Oilers win 5-3

College gameday will be in Knoxville this weekend for the Alabama game 

Trends 📈📉

Only %16 of bets are on Alabama -7.5. Since 2015 when getting less than %50 of bets Bama is 12-5 ATS since 2005. 

NFL public betting record is 29-46-4 ATS 

Patrick Mahomes is 7-0-1 ATS as an underdog. Chiefs are currently +3

The last four Auburn/Ole Miss unders have gone under by an average of 15.9 ppg. The current total is 54.5

Teams playing the week after London without a bye week are 6-1 to the over and each team has been losing or tied in the fourth quarter

The Steelers as home dogs in the last 20 years are 17-4-3 ATS

Aaron Rogers us 66-35-3 ATS at home

Baylor is 4-1 ATS L5 road games

Kansas is 8-0-1 ATS L9 games

ATL is 5-0 ATS this season

The total has gone UNDER in CIN L5 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in NO L7 games at home

NE is 7-2 ATS against CLE L9 games

JAX is 5-0 ATS L5 games vs IND

MIA is 7-1 ATS at home L8 games

Public Money 🤑

%85 of bets  on Navy/SMU under 57.5 

%91 of bets on Kansas +9

%80 of bets on Benglas -1.5

%92 of bets on Bucs ML

%76 of bets on Bucs -8

%89 of bets on 49ers ML

%92 of bets on Rams ML

%72 of bets on Vikings -3.5

%85 of bets on Yankees -1.5

74% of bets on OVER 6 NYY vs CLE

Future Odds 🔮

Injury Report 🏥

KU QB Jalon Daniels - Doubtful vs OU

CIN WR Tee Higgins - Ankle doubtful 

ARI RB James Conner - Ribs DNP Thursday

DAL QB Dak Prescott - Questionable

DAL LB Micah Parsons - Questionable

IND RB Jonathon Taylor - Limited Thursday

LV TE Darren Waller - Questionable

LAR DT Aaron Donald - DNP Thursday

 Weekend Picks 🔒

Nebraska/Purdue Over 56 - Both defenses are nothing special. Nebraska ranks outside the top 100 in passing yards allowed and 111th in rushing. I think the game is going to be closer than we think. I still don't want to take the spread so I'm roiling with the over. 

Clemson -3.5 - Give me Clemson. They are scoring over 30 PPG. They looked solid against their last outing against Boston College with 364 total yards 19 first downs one turnover and two penalties. The Seminoles struggle to attack the ball vs ranked opponents. averaging 20 PPG this year.

Chargers -5 - The troubles will continue for Denver. Russell looks terrible and has a partially torn Lat in his right shoulder. They don't have a strong RB2 with Javonte Williams out for the season with a torn ACL. The chargers will roll and this line is wrong. 

Utah -3.5 - Utah is favored for a reason here. Don't let the team rankings get into your head. The trojans defense ranks 35th in yards allowed per game and offense ranks 25th. Utah ranks very similar at 29th. Utah also gets home field advantage under the lights. Give me Utah I don't think Whittingham will drop two in a row.