Army vs Navy Game

Will the under hit for the 17th year in a row?

Good morning,

Letโ€™s dive inโ€ฆ

Developing Stories ๐Ÿ“ฐ

As the college football regular season comes to a close, itโ€™s finally time for Americaโ€™s game with Army vs Navy(-2.5) to square off for the Commander-in-Chief Trophy. The service academies play a traditional, ground-and-pound style of offense with few passes. They heavily rely on their backs that should guarantee few points and a fast pace to the matchup. The under is on a 16-0 run with a total set at 32.5! Both sides average in the top 10 nationally rushing the football, each posting over 239 yards per game and Army is ranked No. 2 in college football rushing with 304 yards per game.

On paper, the Black Knights are just better when it comes to running the football, going over 300 yards rushing in four of its last six games overall, and went over 400 yards in two of those matchups. All wins. Despite putting the ball in the air just 16 times all year, Army actually leads college football when it comes to air yards per pass, going over 22 yards on average.

If the ball bounces a different way in three of these seven losses, the Midshipmen might be a completely different team. Navy lost against SMU, Cincinnati, and Notre Dame by an average of 6.3 points, and dropped a 3-point decision against Air Force early in the year. In all, the Midshipmen average 239.5 rushing yards per game and allow just under 86.

Headlines ๐Ÿšจ

Baker Mayfield now 1-22 when trailing by double digits at half time after last nightโ€™s comeback win over the Raiders

The Raiders have blown four games where they were leading by double digits at half time

Atlanta Falcons seem to be looking towards their future as they name Rookie QB, Desmond Ridder their starter

San Diego finally lands one as Xander Bogarts agrees to an 11 year $280M contract

The 2022 Heisman will be announced on Saturday 8pm ET

Long jumper from Albania accused of faking way into Olympics

On this day in Sport history: 1935 the first Heisman ever awarded to Jay Berwanger, Chicago (HB)

Trends ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰

The under is 16-0 in Army vs Navy last 16 games

The Cincinnati Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games

The Detroit Lions are 5-0 ATS last 5 games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games

The under is 7-2 in the Steelers last 9 games

The under is 7-1 in the Buccaneers last 8 games

The under is 15-2 when the Dolphins play the Chargers

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games

NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games at home

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road

Public Money ๐Ÿค‘

๐Ÿˆ 32% of bets and 49% of money is on BUF -10

๐Ÿˆ 24% of bets and 59% of money is on JAX +4

๐Ÿˆ 32% of bets and 62% of money is on UNDER 44 HOU at DAL

๐Ÿˆ 39% of bets and 54% of money is on NYG +7

๐Ÿˆ 31% of bets and 53% of money is on UNDER 44.5 PHI at NYG

๐Ÿˆ 59% of bets and 78% of money is on UNDER 44 KC at DEN

๐Ÿˆ 24% of bets and 60% of money is on CAR +4.5

๐Ÿˆ 33% of bets and 59% of money is on LAC +3

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 40% of bets and 70% of money is on UNDER 62.5 SAM at NDSU

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 62% of bets and 83% of money is on OVER 54 HC at SDSU

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 50% of bets and 60% of money is on UNDER 32.5 NAVY at ARMY

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 53% of bets and 75% of money is on TROY -1

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 31% of bets and 92% of money is on UNDER 44.5 CIN at LOU

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 50% of bets and 69% of money is on BYU +1.5

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 41% of bet and 77% of money is on OVER 70.5 SMU at BYU

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 42% of bets and 70% of money is on ORST -10.5

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿˆ 28% of bets and 71% of money is on UNDER 51 FLA at ORST

๐Ÿ€ 53% of bets and 82% of money is on OVER 227.5 LAL at PHI

๐Ÿ€ 39% of bets and 70% of money is on UNDER 227 DET at MEM

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€ 56% of bets and 74% of money is on WASH +16.5

๐Ÿ’ 36% of bets and 72% of money is on OVER 6 PHI at VGK

Future Odds ๐Ÿ”ฎ

Injury Report ๐Ÿฅ

BAL (QB) Lamar Jackson | Out - knee

CLE (WR) Amari Cooper | Questionable - Hip

NYG (RB) Saqoun Barkley | Doubtful - Neck

HOU (WR) Nico Collins | Out - Foot

TB (RB) Leonard Fournette | IR - Foot

PIT (RB) Najee Harris | Questionable - Oblique

Weekend Picks ๐Ÿ”’

Pelicans +1:

  • The Pelicans have won 5 straight games and 8 of their last 10. The sharps are on them as well. Give me the home team here

Jaguars +4:

  • The books are making the Titans a 4 point favorite which is quite a hefty number for a team that has a worse point differential than its opponent. Trevor Lawrence has taken impressive steps forward in his development this year. Lawrence will have a chance to bounce back this week against a Titans pass defense thatโ€™s currently allowing the second-most passing yards per game and the fourth-most passing touchdowns on average. If the Jaguars are still aiming to make a play for the division and keep their slim playoff hopes alive, Lawrence needs to take advantage of that matchup in a must win game.