Another Test For TCU

Good morning,

Let’s dive in…

Developing Stories 📰

Week 12 is a bit more relaxed College Football weekend. We do have a few solid matchups to watch though;

At 11AM CT #4TCU faces off against Baylor. TCU comes into Waco undefeated and fighting to prove that they deserve a spot in the top four for the CFP. Vegas doesn’t expect TCU to get their easily though, as the Horned Frogs are a short 2.5 point favorite. It’ll be huge game for Sonny Dykes and Max Duggan to prove they are for real this season.

The next important game on Saturday kicks off at 7PM as #7 USC (-2.5) heads to LA to take on the #16 Bruins. If USC wins out they will have a solid shot at making it to the CFP. I’m sure UCLA would love to take those chances away from their PAC 12 foes. This game should be fun.

Headlines 🚨

Cleveland at Buffalo will now be played in Detroit due to snow storm in Buffalo - the Bills will now play their next two games in Detroit

Qatar will no longer sell alcohol in any World Cup stadiums. This will complicate things as FIFA had a $75 million dollar sponsorship with Budweiser

Titans OC Todd Downing charged with DUI after Packers upset

Manchester United wants to terminate their deal with Ronaldo after unsanctioned interview potentially suing over breach of contract

Aaron Judge named AL MVP after record breaking season

Commanders hit with second lawsuit from DC attorney general claiming team cheated season ticket holders

The Eagles sign Ndamukong Suh to strengthen their D-line even more

Deshaun Watson returns to Browns practice as NFL suspension nears end

Shohei Ohtani to play in the World Baseball Classic for Japan

Texas A&M is the first CFB program to follow a #1 national recruiting class with a losing season record

Trends 📈📉

The under is 16-1 in the NY Giants last 17 Sunday home games

The Jets are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 divisional games

The Vikings are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as home dogs

The Bills are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games

The Colts are 13-2 on unders since late 2021

Mike Tomlin is 14-8 SU and 16-3-3 ATS as a home underdog in his career

Washington is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games on the road

LA Rams is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indianapolis's last 15 games

NY Jets is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

NY Jets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games

Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers

Public Money 🤑

🏈 45% of bets and 66% of money is on CLE +8.5

🏈 29% of bets and 49% of money is on OVER 48.5

🏈 41% of bets and 64% of money is on UNDER 38 NYJ at NE

🏈 42% of bets and 72% of money is on UNDER 41.5 CAR at BAL

🏈 %30 of bets and %66 of money is on HOU +3

🏈 %35 of bets and %59 of money is on IND +7

🏈 %53 of bets and %79 of money is on UNDER 39 LAR at NO

🏈 %39 of bets and %72 of money is on PIT +4

🏈 %31 of bets and %58 of money is on UNDER 40 CIN at PIT

🏈 %31 of bets and %58 of money is on LAC +5

🎓🏈 %34 of bets and %61 of money is on VANDY +14

🎓🏈 %58 of bets and %83 of money is on IOWA +2.5

🎓🏈 %49 of bets and %77 of money is on IOWA ST -3.5

🎓🏈 %23 of bets and %57 of money is on OK -7

🎓🏈 %37 of bets and %68 of money is on UTAH -2

🎓🏈 83% of bets and 86% of money is on TCU -2.5

🎓🏈 82% of bets and 69% of money is on Kansas State -7.5

🎓🏈 76% of bets and 70% of money is on Ohio State -27.5

🎓🏈 79% of bets and 56% of money is on Clemson -19

🎓🏈 87% of bets and 79% of money is on Penn State -19

🎓🏈 87% of bets and 80% of money is on Tennessee -22.5

🏀 %58 of bets and %81 of money is on CLE -9

🏀 %67 of bets and %83 of money is on MIL +2

🏀 %36 of bets and %84 of money is on DAL -8.5

🏀 %20 of bets and %63 of money is on UTA +1.5

🎓🏀 %25 of bets and %59 of money is on UVA +6

🎓🏀 %43 of bets and %88 of money is on MSM +16

Future Odds 🔮

Injury Report 🏥

Cooper Kupp (LAR) - OUT

David Njoku (CLE) - Questionable

Josh Allen (BUF) - Questionable

A.J. Brown (PHI) - Questionable

DeVonta Smith (PHI) - Questionable

Mark Andrews (BAL) - Questionable

Devante Adams (LV) - Questionable

Jerry Jeudy (DEN)- Questionable

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) - Questionable

Justin Jefferson (MIN) - Questionable

Weekend Picks 🔒

UCLA +2.5

• I get the case to be made either way here, but I’m leaning towards UCLA at home. It took USC a while to get going against Colorado, and once they did they were fine. But they also suffered a big loss, losing Travis Dye for what looks like the rest of the season.

LSU -15

• LSU stays home Saturday for what should be a nice easy stroll in the park following a hard-fought win over Arkansas in Week 11 - which did not have to be as tough as it was. The Tigers have three games left to prove to the committee they deserve 1 of the 4 sought after College Football Playoff spots.

Giants -3

• The Giants somehow find a way to keep winning. This Lions defense won’t be able to shut down Saquon Barkley on the ground, and Detroit is allowing the most yards per pass attempt in the league this season. As so, this should be a manageable feat for the Giants with a home advantage.