- Backdoor Cover
- Posts
- #8 Oregon at #7 Washington
#8 Oregon at #7 Washington
Good morning,
Letโs dive inโฆ
Developing Stories ๐ฐ

In Week 7 of the 2023 college football season, we have an exciting matchup in the Pac-12 Conference at Husky Stadium. It's the highly-anticipated game between the #8 Oregon Ducks and the #7 Washington Huskies. Here's a breakdown of the game and the key statistics.
The Oregon Ducks, currently ranked 8th with a flawless 5-0 record both straight up and against the spread. They're looking to maintain their impressive winning streak, which includes a 38-30 road victory against Texas Tech in Week 2. The Ducks' defense has been outstanding in their recent games, with convincing victories over Hawaii (55-10), No. 19 Colorado (42-6), and Stanford (42-6). Bo Nix, their star quarterback, has thrown for 1,459 yards, 15 touchdowns, and just one interception in the first five games of the season. Bucky Irving and Jordan James have been a great duo with 851 yards from scrimmage and 11 touchdowns, while Troy Frankin has 32 catches for 535 yards and seven touchdowns. The Ducks rank second in the nation in points scored at 51.6 per game and are a force on the ground, ranking tenth in rushing yards with 227.2 and leading the country in yards per carry 7.1. Defensively, they are allowing only 11.8 points per game tied for 5th in the nation, with strong stats in passing yards allowed and rushing yards allowed.
The 7th-ranked Washington Huskies also have a 5-0 record but have a 3-2 ATS performance. They're looking to extend their impressive 13-game winning streak, which dates back to the 2022 season. Their recent victories include a convincing 59-32 home win against California, as well as road wins against Michigan State (41-7) and Arizona (31-24). In their latest game against Arizona, the Huskies outgained their opponents in all-purpose yards (474-342) but faced a resilient Wildcats team. Dillon Johnson played a pivotal role with 16 carries for 91 yards and two touchdowns, while Michael Penix Jr. completed 30 of 40 passes for 363 yards. Penix has been a standout performer this season, amassing 1,999 yards passing, 16 touchdowns, and just two interceptions, with a remarkable completion rate of 74.7 percent. Dillon Johnson has contributed 317 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns, and wide receivers Rome Odunze and Ja'lynn Polk have combined for 58 catches, 1,076 receiving yards, and ten touchdowns. The Huskies boast an impressive offensive record, ranking 3rd in the nation in points scored (46.0 per game), with a prolific passing game (446.4 yards, 1st) but a more modest rushing attack (123.0 yards, 104th). Defensively, they're allowing 18.4 points per game (tied for 27th), with stats of 243.4 passing yards (93rd) and 121.6 rushing yards (46th).
This sets the stage for an exciting matchup between two powerhouse teams in the Pac-12 Conference, each with their own strengths and impressive records.
Anticipate a closely contested battle, with the potential for a thrilling fourth quarter. Even though the current point spread stands at 3 points, I would lean towards the underdogs to cover. The Ducks' defensive line could be a game-changer, as Oregon is in dire need of disrupting Michael Penix Jr. in the pocket. So far this season, the Ducks have recorded 18 sacks, which ranks them tied for 14th in the nation. In contrast, the Huskies have managed just six sacks, tying them for 126th place.
Headlines ๐จ

On this Day in Sport History: 1903 The Boston Americans win the1st Baseball World Series.
1993 The Mighty Ducks win their 1st NHL game.
The Philadelphia Phillies eliminate the 104 win Atlanta Braves and are moving on to the NLCS.
LA Chargers QB Justin Herbert has a fractured finger in his non throwing hand and says he expects no restrictions vs. the Cowboys
The Houston Cougars won on a thrilling 49 yard hail mary by Donovan Smith with no time left with a final score of 41-39.
Colorado top player Travis Hunter has the possibility to play Friday vs. Stanford.
Bruce Bochy was impressed with Max Scherzerโs throwing session but he still istn ready to declare him to pitch against Houston yet.
Trends ๐๐ via Oddsshark
๐ Ravens at Titans (London)
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tennessee's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tennessee's last 15 games at home
๐ Vikings at Bears
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
๐ Redskins at Falcons
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
๐ Seahawks at Bengals
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
๐ Saints at Texans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Houston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
๐ 49ers at Browns
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
๐ Colts at Jaguars
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games
Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
๐ Panthers at Dolphins
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
๐ Patriots at Raiders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games
๐ Lions at Buccaneers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
๐ Cardinals at Rams
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
๐ Phillies at Jets
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Jets's last 17 games
๐ Giants at Bills
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
๐ Cowboys at Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Public Money ๐ค via VSiN at 9AMCT
๐ NCAAF
23% of bets and 47% of money is on USU +5.5
10.14.23
28% of bets and 47% of money is on IND +34
12% of bets and 34% of money is on UNDER 45.5 IND at #2 MICH
22% of bets and 52% of money is on UNDER 56 #1 UGA at VAN
25% of bets and 43% of money is on OKST +3
28% of bets and 63% of money is on UNDER 56 #23 KU at OKST
47% of bets and 76% of money is on UNDER 54.5 MASS at #6 PSU
34% of bets and 53% of money is on TA&M +3
49% of bets and 87% of money is on UNDER 55.5 TA&M at #19 TENN
38% of bets and 58% of money is on #7 WASH -3
27% of bets and 50% of money is on PITT +7.5
13% of bets and 65% of money is on UNDER 44.5 #14 LOU at PITT
46% of bets and 64% of money is on AUB +11.5
33% of bets and 49% of money is on UNDER 60.5 AUB at #22 LSU
17% of bets and 58% of money is on UNDER 56.5 #25 MIA at #12 UNC
๐ NFL
29% of bets and 54% of money is on UNDER 47.5 CAR at MIA
21% of bets and 52% of money is on UNDER 36.5 SF at CLE
48% of bets and 67% of money is on OVER 42.5 NO at HOU
39% of bets and 65% of money is on IND +4
57% of bets and 70% of money is on MIN -3
33% of bets and 68% of money is on NE +3
17% of bets and 37% of money is on NYJ +7
39% of bets and 60% of money is on UNDER 41 PHI at NYJ
20% of bets and 41% of money is on UNDER 42 DET at TB
43% of bets and 77% of money is on OVER 49 ARI at LAR
Future Odds ๐ฎ via Bovada Sportsbook


Injury Report ๐ฅ via ESPN

TEX (SP) Jon Gray | 15 Day IL - Forearm, on track to join the rotation in the ALCS
ARI (RB) James Conner | IR - Knee
ARI (S) Jalen Thompson | Questionable - Hamstring, did not practice yesterday
BAL (LB) Odafe Oweh | Out - Ankle
BAL (RB) Keaton Mitchell | IR - Shoulder, listed as questionable
BUF (TE) Dalton Kincaid | Questionable - Concussion
BUF (LB) Matt Milano | IR - Leg
CAR (RB) Miles Sanders | Out - Shoulder
CHI (RB) Khalil Herbert | Questionable - Ankle, did not practice yesterday
CHI (RB) Roschon Johnson | Questionable - Concussion, did not practice yesterday
CIN (WR) Tee Higgins | Questionable - Ribs, will be a game time decision
CLE (QB) Deshaun Watson | Out - Shoulder
JAX (WR) Zay Jones | Questionable - Knee, expected to sit out Sunday
LAC (LB) Joey Bosa | Questionable - Toe, sat out of practice yesterday
MIA (RB) Jeff Wilson Jr | IR - Ribs/Finger, Dolphins have not decided whether or not to activate JWJ before Sundayโs game or not
MIA (RB) DeโVon Achane | IR - Knee
MIN (WR) Justin Jefferson | IR - Hamstring
NE (WR) JuJu Smith-Schuster | Questionable - Concussion, did not practice yesterday
NYG (QB) Daniel Jones | Out - Neck
PHI (DT) Jalen Carter | Questionable - Ankle
PHI (LB) Nakobe Dean | IR - Foot, returned to practice yesterday in limited fashion
SEA (WR) DK Metcalf | Questionable - Ribs
Picks ๐

Louisville -7.5 | Louisville are dominant on both sides of the ball and Pitt hasnโt been able to put together much on offense. The Cardinals have an advantage at nearly every position.
South Carolina -2.5 | South Carolina has a very explosive offense. The Gators havenโt won a game on the road. South Carolina is 4-2 Ats in the last 6 meetings.
Oregon +3 | Analysis above